As investors weigh flat holiday sales and record-high credit card debt against rising hopes for Fed rate cuts, the next jobs report could prove pivotal for market direction and consumer-facing stocks.
This article shows Cleveland Fed nowcasts of instantaneous PCE and core PCE inflation drifting away from the Fed’s 2% target in recent data, signaling inflation dynamics that may complicate policy expectations.
This article discusses US Core CPI hitting economist consensus in January data, showing core inflation trends and divergences in food price components, with implications for ongoing inflation dynamics.
The financial landscape shifted violently this week as the long-dormant Russell 2000 index (INDEXRUSSELL:RUT) staged a breathtaking 18% rally, marking its best single-week performance in decades. Triggered by a surprisingly soft Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released on Wednesday, the surge has ignited what analysts are calling "The Great
As the dust settles on the fourth-quarter 2025 earnings season, Martin Marietta Materials (NYSE: MLM) has emerged as a critical barometer for the health of the American industrial landscape. Reporting its results on February 11, 2026, the building materials giant showcased a bifurcated reality: while the broader economy grapples with
The U.S. bond market experienced a significant easing on February 13, 2026, as the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield slid to 4.06% following a highly anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The data, which showed inflation continuing its steady descent toward the Federal Reserve’s long-term target, provided a
Following a tumultuous period of "fast-food fatigue" and inflationary pressure, McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) has emerged from its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter as a definitive bellwether for the American economy. Two days ago, on February 11, 2026, the fast-food giant reported a "double beat" on revenue and earnings, signaling that
This week’s market narrative revolved around three intersecting forces: the scale of AI capital investment, macroeconomic recalibration of Fed policy, and crypto-driven liquidity swings.
As of February 13, 2026, the S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY) has officially crossed a psychological and mathematical Rubicon. The Shiller CAPE ratio—a measure of the market’s price relative to ten years of inflation-adjusted earnings—surpassed the 40.0 mark this week, currently hovering at 40.6. This
In a move that has sent shockwaves through global financial centers, the White House has officially nominated Kevin Warsh to serve as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Scheduled to take the gavel on May 15, 2026, Warsh will succeed Jerome Powell, whose second four-year term ends this spring.
The mid-February 2026 market landscape has taken a sharp turn into volatility as a new wave of "AI disruption" fears sweeps through traditional service sectors. Long considered immune to the initial wave of generative AI, labor-intensive giants in logistics and real estate are now facing a reckoning. Investors, once enamored
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its highly anticipated January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on the morning of February 13, 2026, revealing that headline inflation has slowed to 2.4% year-over-year. This figure came in below the consensus economist expectation of 2.5%, marking a significant milestone
